Paul Bivand

Associate Director of Statistics and Analysis

Paul is Associate Director of Statistics and Analysis at Learning and Work Institute, with 30 years of experience in employment and skills policy research.He is a committee member of the Labour Market Statistics User Group, which operates under the auspices of the Royal Statistical Society.At Learning and Work Institute, Paul leads on the analysis of labour market statistics and economic forecasting. He has led Inclusion's policy work on the impact of the recession on flows into long-term unemployment, and the resulting impacts on the scale and nature of support needed. This work has challenged the Department for Work and Pensions to improve their analyses, as well as provided support to providers seeking to operate in an extremely challenging environment.Paul leads on the analysis of existing survey resources, and where these are inadequate, he manages specialised surveys commissioned by clients. He is an expert at analysing the Labour Force Survey and also has extensive experience of examining longitudinal surveys. Paul manages Inclusion's complex data analysis requirements and promotes and maintains relationships with appointed fieldwork agencies.He led a major project, commissioned by a consortium of local authorities and carried out in partnership with the Child Poverty Action Group, to develop the Child Poverty Toolkit. Paul has extensive experience of using statistical packages R and SPSS.



New information on labour market signals – commentary on 2016 earnings survey (ASHE) results
31 October 2016 by Paul Bivand

New information on labour market signals – commentary on 2016 earnings survey (ASHE) results

Employers signal information to potential recruits in a number of ways. Firstly, whether they are recruiting at all, and the methods they use to advertise jobs. Secondly, the pay offered.

Welfare Reform and benefit take-up
6 July 2015 by Paul Bivand

Welfare Reform and benefit take-up

Dan Finn analyses the figures DWP published on benefit take-up - after a gap of three years. After a break of three years the DWP finally published take-up estimates for most means-tested benefits. They were released on the same day as the child poverty data and received less attention than usual. HMRC’s pre-Xmas release of tax credit take-up also attracted little attention.

Job-filling and the recovery
4 October 2014 by Paul Bivand

Job-filling and the recovery

Paul Bivand examines recent trends in job-finding and how far the recovery has yet to go. Over the recession and the recovery, job-finding rates for the unemployed, inactive and the employed have moved in the...Read more »

Are employment/inactivity rates near records? Paul Bivand looks at the figures a little more closely
15 September 2014 by Paul Bivand

Are employment/inactivity rates near records? Paul Bivand looks at the figures a little more closely

Last month’s employment rate at 73.0% is slightly lower than July’s record, and the inactivity rate at 21.9% is slightly higher than July as well. But, these figures are not the highest published working age figure – that...Read more »

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